Quantitative trading for prediction markets

We make prediction markets liquid.

Colibri Trade is a crypto-native quantitative trading firm providing continuous liquidity, fair-value pricing, and automated execution across prediction markets.

CLOB · SimulatedEvent contract · ¢
DepthSize · Price
2,48967¢
1,02366¢
95865¢
1,37864¢
4,59363¢
FV 62.4¢SPREAD 1¢
5,20462¢
4,09661¢
3,53960¢
1,33759¢
1,88858¢
Prints
$10M+
Monthly trading volume
70+
Markets covered
24/7
Automated execution

Built for the prediction market ecosystem

PolymarketKalshiLimitlessPredict.funXO MarketsOpinion
Liquidity infrastructure

Liquidity that makes markets usable.

A market only works when you can get in and out at a fair price. We build the systems that keep books tradable.

Two-sided liquidity

Bid and ask, on every market we run.

Fair-value pricing

Venue data + external signals → real-time fair value.

Automated execution

Orders placed, updated, cancelled — around the clock.

Flexible coverage

Existing books, new launches, category programs.

Market impact

From thin books to tradable markets.

We help venues improve the basic conditions required for healthy market activity: consistent quotes, usable depth, competitive spreads, and reliable execution.

Without dedicated liquidity
12071¢
24068¢
spread 14¢
18054¢
9047¢
Wide spreadLimited depthIrregular quotesDifficult execution
With structured market making
2,90064¢
4,10063¢
spread 1¢
4,60062¢
3,30061¢
Tighter spreadDeeper bookContinuous quotesReliable execution

Illustrative market structure comparison

How it works

Built for fragmented markets.

Prediction-market liquidity is distributed across venues, categories, and contract structures. Our infrastructure connects pricing, execution, monitoring, and risk management in one automated system.

01Market Data

Venue order books, external data feeds, underlying asset prices, and related market signals.

02Pricing Models

Proprietary models calculate fair value and update probabilities as new information enters the market.

03Quote Generation

The system produces competitive two-sided quotes based on fair value, inventory, liquidity, and market conditions.

04Execution

Orders are automatically placed, updated, cancelled, and managed across supported venues.

05Risk Controls

Exposure, inventory, market conditions, and system health are continuously monitored.

Coverage

One infrastructure. Multiple market categories.

Our systems are designed to operate across fast-moving short-term markets and longer-duration event contracts.

Crypto

Short-duration price markets, asset outcomes, and crypto-native event contracts.

BTC above $150K by Dec 3141¢
Sports

Pre-match and event-based sports markets with changing probabilities and liquidity conditions.

Champions League: English winner44¢
Politics

Election, policy, approval, and political event markets.

US government shutdown this year22¢
Geopolitics

Markets tied to international events, conflict, diplomacy, and global developments.

Ceasefire agreement by Q431¢
Macro

Inflation, rates, economic indicators, and central-bank decisions.

Fed cuts rates in September64¢
Finance

Equities, commodities, indices, corporate events, and broader financial outcomes.

S&P 500 above 7,000 by year end37¢
For platforms

Better markets start with better liquidity.

Tighter spreads, deeper books, better price quality — on existing markets or day-one launches.

Discuss liquidity coverage

Tell us which markets you want to improve — we will evaluate the data, venue structure, and liquidity requirements.

coverage.spec
new-market launches[supported]
order-book coverage[continuous]
category strategies[per-venue]
fair-value pricing[proprietary]
market selection[advisory]
quoting strategies[custom]
commercial model[flexible]
Products

Beyond trading.

We build products for the wider prediction-market ecosystem, including tools and communities for traders, researchers, and market builders.

Forum
Prediction Talk

A dedicated forum for discussing prediction markets, trading strategies, market structure, new platforms, and emerging opportunities.

Explore Prediction Talk

Building or scaling a prediction market?

Let's discuss market coverage, liquidity requirements, and how Colibri Trade can support your venue.